I often see the students and faculty writing their papers and thesis on the topics like ‘Impact of ABC on economic growth’; with a trivial conclusion that ‘ABC is having impact on growth therefore we should focus on improving ABC’. In fact there are number of problems with this kind of research which make it […]
Modeling Economic Growth Read More »
Pandemic covid-19 was a global disaster and every nation was affected with different levels of intensity. Many huge industries such as the aviation and tourism industry faced huge losses. In such circumstances, it was not possible to provide a huge covid support package using the tax revenue. Despite this, many governments including those running deficit
Central Bank Borrowing and Inflation: between Myth and Reality Read More »
The mainstream monetary economics is filled with contradictions, logical inconsistencies, missed and messed normative implications and data inconsistencies. There exist heterodox theories having better match with historical data, but the theories are often undermined and ignored. It is in fact difficult to find something logical and valid in classical monetary economics. Despite a clear empirical
Mainstream Monetary Economics: A Package of Logical Fallacies Read More »
In my the previous blogs, [1] [2] I have explained that following the General Specific Methodology, one can choose between theoretical models to find out a model which is compatible with data. Here is an example which shows step by step procedure of the general to simple methodology. At the end of this blog, you
General to Specific Modeling; a Step by Step Guide Read More »
Listening to the word ARDL, the first things that comes into mind is the bound testing approach introduced by Pesaran and Shin (1999).The Pesaran and Shin’s approach is an incredible use of the ARDL, however, the term ARDL is much elder, and the ARDL model has many other uses as well. In fact, the equation
ARDL model and General to simple methodology Read More »
Consider a hypothetical question, a researcher was given with a research question; compare the mathematical ability of male and female students of grade 5. The researcher collected data of 300 female students and 300 male students of grade 5 and administered a test of mathematical questions. The average score for female students was 80% and
Research in presence of multiple theories Read More »
Many statistical and econometric procedures depend on the assumption of normality. The importance of the normal distribution lies in the fact that sums/averages of random variables tend to be approximately normally distributed regardless of the distribution of draws. The central limit theorem explains this fact. Central Limit Theorem is very important since it provides justification
Learning Central Limit Theorem with Microsoft Excel Read More »
The spurious relationship is said to have occurred if the statistical summaries are indicating that two variables are related to each other when in fact there is no theoretical relationship between two variables. It often happens in time series data and there are many well-known examples of spurious correlation in time series data as well.
Spurious Regression With Stationary Time Series Read More »
